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Pakistan Mobile Market Report — 2025

Pakistan Mobile Market Report — 2025

PakistaniLiving — Quarterly Market Report

Pakistan Mobile Market Report 2025 — Who’s Winning, Who’s Losing

The most complete brand share breakdown in Pakistan — PTA shipment data, quarterly trends, and what the numbers actually mean for buyers right now.

Q3 2025 — Updated May 2026 Updated quarterly
30M
Total units sold FY 2024–25
12% decline vs FY24
94%
Demand met by local assembly
vs 77% five-year avg
31%
Smartphone penetration rate
Massive headroom remaining
44%
Transsion smartphone share
Infinix + Tecno combined

Two ways to measure who’s winning — and they tell different stories

Pakistan sells roughly 30 million mobile phones a year, making it one of the largest handset markets in South Asia — and one of the least reported on in plain language. In FY 2024–25, total sales dropped 12%, with 30 million units sold compared to 34 million the previous year. But underneath that headline decline, the competitive picture is far more interesting.

There are two distinct ways to measure “who’s winning” in Pakistani mobile: shipment share (what PTA tracks by assembly volume) and active usage share (what phones people actually use day to day). These numbers diverge significantly in Pakistan — and understanding why tells you everything about this market.
Smartphone market share — Q2 2025
Brand share by unit volume — smartphones only
Transsion Group (Infinix + Tecno) combined = 44% — IDC data via Business Recorder, Q2 2025 [2]
Infinix 28% Tecno 16% Xiaomi 18% Vivo 17% Samsung 10% OPPO 6% Others 5%
Infinix 28%, Tecno 16%, Xiaomi 18%, Vivo 17%, Samsung 10%, OPPO 6%, Others 5%
Source [2]: Business Recorder / IDC Q2 2025, October 2025

The shipment story: Transsion has quietly won

A brand most Pakistanis couldn’t name five years ago now controls nearly half the smartphones being sold in the country. Transsion Group — the Chinese company behind Infinix and Tecno — built its entire strategy around emerging markets by obsessing over what budget buyers actually want: long battery life, good low-light cameras, durable builds, and prices that don’t sting.

Infinix and Tecno have executed this strategy in Pakistan almost perfectly. Their phones dominate Hall Road in Lahore, Saddar in Karachi, and small city shops across Multan and Faisalabad. They’ve built deep retailer relationships in a market where 95% of smartphone sales come from independent shopkeepers — no carrier subsidies, no telecom-driven EMI schemes. [2]

Globally, IDC data confirms Transsion ranked first in smartphone shipments in Pakistan, Bangladesh, the Philippines and across Africa in the first three quarters of 2024 — a consistent pattern that continued into 2025. [9]

Local assembly volumes — top 10 brands (Jan–Oct 2025)
Locally assembled units — top 10 brands, 10M 2025
PTA data, January–October 2025. Includes smartphones + 2G feature phones. Total output = 25.11 million units [3]
Infinix 3.12M, VGO Tel 2.82M, Vivo 2.27M, Itel 2.06M, Tecno 1.62M, Samsung 1.48M, Xiaomi 1.31M, QMobile 0.93M, Realme 0.91M, G-Five 0.70M
Source [3]: PTA via Business Recorder, November 2025
Brand breakdown at a glance
Brand Q2 2025 share Relative volume Price segment
Infinix 28%
Budget – mid
Xiaomi 18%
Budget – mid
Vivo 17%
Mid – premium
Tecno 16%
Budget
Samsung 10%
All segments
OPPO 6%
Mid – premium

A quiet industrial revolution: 94% made locally

One of the most underreported stories in Pakistani tech is the manufacturing transformation. A decade ago Pakistan imported most of its phones. Today it assembles almost all of them domestically. The 94% local assembly figure for 2025 compares to a nine-year average of just 52% — a structural shift, not a short-term blip. [3]

Key assembly partners include Airlink Communication and Lucky Cement, which assemble phones for Xiaomi, Tecno, and others under PTA-approved frameworks. Xiaomi’s Pakistan head confirmed that all Redmi Note series phones priced between $100 and $300 are now locally assembled, with only flagship-tier Xiaomi devices still imported as complete units. [2]

Monthly production trend — 2025
Local assembly output per month — 2025 (million units)
June dip caused by regional conflict supply chain disruption. July recovery reflects both normalisation and a low base effect. [5][6]
Jan 2.42M, Feb 2.51M, Mar 2.55M, Apr 2.43M, May 2.41M, Jun 2.19M (disruption), Jul 3.59M (recovery)
Sources [5][6]: The News International & Express Tribune, via PTA data & Topline Securities, 2025

Why Samsung still leads usage despite losing new sales

Samsung has been selling phones in Pakistan for over 15 years. Its older models stay in use for four, five, even six years — especially in middle-income households where a Galaxy A-series bought in 2020 remains the family’s primary device. Infinix’s rise in shipments is real, but it hasn’t yet displaced Samsung’s enormous installed base. Give it three to four more years of Transsion dominance in new sales and the usage picture will shift decisively.

Apple’s 8.8% active usage share is also notable — higher than you’d expect given iPhone pricing in a market where average household income is under Rs.100,000 a month. iPhones in Pakistan are mostly second-hand grey market imports, bought after two or three years of global depreciation. They are status symbols traded actively in Karachi and Lahore’s secondhand markets.

Web usage share — phones people actually use (2026)
Brand share by active web users — major cities, 2026
Reflects real installed base, not shipments. Samsung’s older devices still dominate actual usage despite losing ground in new sales. [7]
Samsung 26.4% Vivo 15.2% Xiaomi 14.1% OPPO 12.2% Infinix 9.7% Apple 8.8% Tecno 4.7% Realme 4.6%
Samsung 26.4%, Vivo 15.2%, Xiaomi 14.1%, OPPO 12.2%, Infinix 9.7%, Apple 8.8%, Tecno 4.7%, Realme 4.6%
Source [7]: PhoneWorld / Nayatel network data, May 2026
6 key market insights
Transsion dominates new sales
Infinix + Tecno = 44% combined smartphone unit share. More than Xiaomi, Vivo and Samsung combined. [2]
Local assembly boom
94% made locally vs 52% nine years ago. July 2025 production surged 123% YoY from a low base. [3][5]
95% independent retail
Unlike Turkey where carriers drive 85% of sales, Pakistan runs almost entirely on small shopkeepers. [2]
FY25 volume decline
30M units in FY25 vs 34M in FY24 — a 12% drop attributable to normalisation after FY24’s tax-cut surge. [4]
31% penetration = huge upside
India sits at 54%, Indonesia at 64%, Turkey at 80%+. Tens of millions of first-time buyers still to enter the market. [3]
7–8% growth forecast
Topline Securities projects sustainable 7–8% YoY growth over the next 12 months as base effects clear. [5]
What this means if you’re buying a phone now
  • Infinix / Tecno = best after-sales support right now. Transsion’s market dominance means more service centers, more spare parts availability, and more technician familiarity than any other budget brand in Pakistan today.
  • Samsung = still the strongest resale value in Android. Its 15-year brand presence means a Galaxy A-series from two years ago holds its price better than equivalent Infinix or Xiaomi models on OLX.
  • Xiaomi Redmi Note = best value in the Rs.35,000–60,000 range. 18% market share, local Airlink assembly, and improved software support make the Redmi Note series the sweet spot for mid-range buyers in 2025.
  • 31% penetration means the next wave is still coming. Sub-Rs.20,000 phones will keep improving rapidly as brands compete for first-time buyers across smaller cities — good news if you’re patient.

We update this report every quarter

This is PakistaniLiving’s quarterly mobile market report — the first of its kind in Pakistan with plain-language analysis alongside real sourced data. Bookmark it, share it on WhatsApp, and drop a comment if you spot something we missed. Next update: Q3 2025 data, August 2026.

Data sources & references

Sources cited in this article

  • [1]
    Pakistan Telecommunication Authority (PTA) — Monthly Assembly Statistics Official monthly data on mobile phone manufacturing, assembly volumes, and brand-level output used throughout. Figures for Jan–Oct 2025 local assembly totals, smartphone vs feature phone split, and 94% domestic demand coverage. pta.gov.pk Accessed via Business Recorder and Pakistan Today Profit reports, 2025.
  • [2]
    Business Recorder — “Pakistan’s smartphone market remains a gold mine despite recent decline” Primary source for Q2 2025 brand market share (IDC data), Transsion 44% unit share, Xiaomi marketing head interview quotes, and independent retail channel (95%) breakdown. brecorder.com/news/40388277 Published October 20–21, 2025.
  • [3]
    Business Recorder — “Smartphone manufacturing boom positions Pakistan for export-driven growth” Source for 10-month 2025 local assembly totals by brand, 25.11M unit total, 94% domestic coverage figure, and 31% smartphone penetration rate. brecorder.com/news/40394358 Published November 26, 2025.
  • [4]
    Profit by Pakistan Today — “Mobile phone sales in Pakistan decline by 12% in FY 2024–25” Source for full-year FY25 vs FY24 sales decline (30M vs 34M units), H1 2025 brand assembly rankings, and 94% local assembly in first five months. profit.pakistantoday.com.pk Published July 31, 2025.
  • [5]
    The News International — “Pakistan assembles 3.59m mobiles in July, up 123pc YoY” Source for July 2025 production surge (3.59M units, 123% YoY), June 2025 disruption context, and Topline Securities 7–8% growth projection. thenews.com.pk Published September 5, 2025.
  • [6]
    Express Tribune — “Local mobile production up, sales down” Source for 5-month 2025 assembly data (12.05M units), smartphone vs 2G feature phone split (46% / 54%), and top 10 brand rankings for Jan–May 2025. tribune.com.pk Published July 6, 2025.
  • [7]
    PhoneWorld — “Major smartphone brands battle for market share in Pakistan in 2026” Source for active web usage share figures across Pakistan’s major cities: Samsung 26.4%, Vivo 15.2%, Xiaomi 14.1%, OPPO 12.2%, Infinix 9.7%, Apple 8.8%, Tecno 4.7%, Realme 4.6%. phoneworld.com.pk Published May 2026.
  • [8]
    Profit by Pakistan Today — “Pakistan’s mobile manufacturing sees 123% YoY growth in July 2025” Supporting source for July 2025 production data and Topline Securities analyst commentary on base effects and outlook. profit.pakistantoday.com.pk Published September 4, 2025.
  • [9]
    IDC Global Mobile Phone Quarterly Tracking Report — Q1–Q3 2024 Source for Transsion Group global ranking (#3 in global mobile, #5 in smartphones) and confirmation of Transsion’s #1 position in Pakistan, Africa, Bangladesh, and Philippines. Cited via Business Recorder and 36Kr analysis. IDC proprietary data; cited in published reports October–November 2025.
A note on methodology: Brand share figures in this report come from two distinct datasets. PTA assembly volumes count every phone assembled in Pakistan including 2G feature phones — which is why VGO Tel and Itel appear prominently in the assembly rankings (they produce mostly entry-level 2G devices sold in rural Pakistan). IDC smartphone-only shipment data excludes feature phones, giving the Transsion 44% figure. Each chart in this article is clearly labelled to indicate which dataset it draws from. Web usage share figures (Chart 4) reflect active internet usage across major Pakistani cities and represent installed base, not new sales.

About Quraat ul Ain

Editor - Research & Academic Technology Contributor Quraat ul Ain brings an academic and research-driven perspective to PakistaniLiving (PL), specializing in emerging technologies, digital ecosystems, AI trends, mobile platforms, and consumer technology behavior. With a background in higher education and technology research, she contributes analytical articles that simplify complex innovations into accessible insights for everyday readers. Her writing bridges academia and the fast-moving gadget industry, offering balanced, evidence-based coverage tailored for Pakistan’s growing tech audience.

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